Friday, January 29, 2010

CNY Rally or CNY Sale?


Everyone should be curious about this coming tiger. Is it going to eat you or it is going to show you its boldness?

The stock markets dislike uncertanties and potential bubble. Let's see how my past analaysis is doing today:

(Posted 2 days ago)

1) US President's intention to control Wall Street and remove life support for banks
2) Undecided decision for US Fed Chairman Ben Bernake to 2nd Term   Bernanke won 2nd term
3) China's Government to Limit Loan Facility

Anyway, new fears are being introduced into the system:
1) Greece and Spain potential backrupcy
2) China and Dubai asset bubble problem
3) Roubini says asset bubble is confirmed in China (Wednesday)
4) Geroge Soros says US will be in a 2nd recession (Wednesday)

I would like to also add another fear item#5 which everyone doesn't like to see: Asset bubble in Malaysia. We should be able to see the bubble starts to surface in April when construction companies in Malaysia start to announce earnings report.


My prediction:
Make medium term gain until end of February and get away from stock market or hold REIT shares with good earnings. Come back after the asset bubble in Malaysia is burst probably in April or May. My stock purchases will be sold whenever there is a chance. George Soros may be behind all these as he wants to buy cheap shares soon.

This tiger is great too.

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